Unelectable

Ronald Reagan was unelectable in 1980. Way out of the mainstream, a product of the same conservative movement responsible for the Goldwater debacle sixteen years earlier. Dangerously trigger-happy while the Cold War was still raging. The public will never accept him. Jimmy Carter couldn’t wait to run against him. Bill Clinton was unelectable in 1992. Way too much baggage. He … Read More

What Harris Did

So much has been written about this past week’s two-day overhyped marathon Democratic presidential debate that it’s difficult to add anything new or original. We’re already seeing early data that reaffirms initial social media reactions about winners and losers, namely that Elizabeth Warren impressed on Wednesday, Kamala Harris dominated on Thursday, Juli├ín Castro enhanced his profile a lot, Corey Booker … Read More

Is Elizabeth Warren For Real?

Something interesting and potentially telling is happening in the Democratic presidential contest. While Joe Biden predictably experiences post-announcement regression in his polling, and while other headline candidates remain flat, Elizabeth Warren is undergoing a steady rise toward the top of an uber-crowded field. Recent polling shows her inching up to second place in some national and key state polls, ahead … Read More

Republicans and Democrats Are Scared of the Voters

I’m back from my annual three-week Washington program, where each year I have a chance to meet with public officials and take the temperature of politics inside the Beltway. The most striking thing about DC this spring is how the breakdown of political consensus has paralyzed both parties at a time when we most need them to push back against … Read More

Objects In Mirror Are Closer Than They Appear

I just completed the first of three weeks in Washington running my annual program for Villanova, and while the humidity was refreshingly low, the political barometric pressure was intense. Despite what they are saying in front of cameras, Democrats are out of patience with the unprecedented obstruction they have been facing from the Trump administration and the desire to move … Read More

The 2020 Map

The 2020 election will play out in 10 states: five in the rustbelt and five in the sunbelt. Three are “blue wall” states that Donald Trump narrowly won and will need to win again. The other seven states are various shades of red and trending in different directions. As Democrats begin the long process of narrowing twenty-odd candidates to one, … Read More

The Biden Divide

Now that Joe Biden has entered the 2020 presidential contest — ending the least suspenseful build-up to a campaign launch in recent memory — we might take this opportunity to look at how his candidacy will serve as a lightening rod for the Democratic electorate as it begins the process of sorting out how to run against Donald Trump. Biden … Read More

Reflections on the Silly Season

I’m watching the blossoms on the trees outside my window. They will soon turn into young leaves, which will mature, turn color, and fall to the ground. Much later the process will repeat itself. Only then will we reach Election Day 2020, some eighteen months from now. Welcome to the silly season of presidential politics, when the election is so … Read More

An Inconvenient Truth

House leaders can no longer avoid the impeachment question by saying we need to wait for the Mueller report. The report is here, and it describes in extensive detail a lawless, out of control president whose collusive entanglements with Russia and relentless efforts to obstruct anyone who might reveal them render him unfit for office. What it does not do … Read More

Why Weld Matters

Who is Bill Weld? If you aren’t a Libertarian or from Massachusetts, you may not know the former two-term Republican governor and 2016 Libertarian Party vice presidential nominee. Yesterday he announced his intention to oppose Donald Trump for the 2020 Republican nomination, a move easily dismissed as quixotic given the overwhelming support Trump enjoys in his party. And it probably … Read More

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