Leadership Crisis

December 10, 1979. Fifty-two Americans had been taken hostage in Iran one month earlier, and the public was rallying around Jimmy Carter. The deeply unpopular president saw his job approval soar thirty points to 60% in just a few weeks. At the time it was the largest short-term increase ever recorded by the Gallup organization. […]

Trump’s Re-election Strategy Is Falling Apart

Donald Trump has finally collided with a reality he can’t make disappear. His arsenal of weapons is useless against the coronavirus. He tried spinning it away, thinking it would be enough to “win” the daily news cycle by pretending it wasn’t a big deal. The failure of that effort is evident in how quickly he […]

Before and After

Remember when the field of Democratic candidates was large and diverse, when people argued over whether a multi-billionaire could buy the nomination without campaigning, when Joe Biden’s campaign was pretty much done? That was — two weeks ago? It’s hard to believe how much the campaign — and life overall — has changed so quickly. […]

The Path to Unity

I remember the moment as if it were yesterday. It was the first night of the 2016 Democratic National Convention, and I was walking by Clinton supporters in the Louisiana delegation that occupied seats just off the floor, while high above them a group of Sanders delegates from the vicinity of the Colorado delegation were […]

Resurrection

Extraordinary times produce extraordinary events. One week ago, the most relevant question about Joe Biden was whether he could exit the presidential contest with grace and end his political career with dignity. Today, he sits atop the Democratic field with the most delegates and a clear path to the nomination. If there is a more […]

After South Carolina

Joe Biden chose the right time to win a primary for the first time in three attempts at the presidency. Or maybe a better way to put it is if Biden hadn’t won South Carolina yesterday, it would have been his last presidential primary. Instead, by finishing almost thirty points ahead of Bernie Sanders, Biden […]

Dazed and Confused

He yells at you from the podium. His ideas are crazy. He’s too old. He’s not even a member of the party he wants to lead. He’s unelectable.  Yet, as much as they tried, establishment Republicans were unable to stop him. Their legacy frontrunner, Jeb Bush, couldn’t resonate with an electorate that sixteen years earlier […]

Money Can’t Buy You Love

Can Elizabeth Warren be the “centrist” alternative to Bernie Sanders? As the political world reacts to the fallout from Wednesday’s explosive Democratic presidential debate in Las Vegas, Warren may emerge as the only remaining candidate with the potential to build a coalition broad enough to contest the deep, unwavering support that has propelled Bernie to […]

After New Hampshire, A Work In Progress

Rightly or wrongly, Iowa and New Hampshire have traditionally winnowed the field of candidates and given structure to presidential contests. Not this year. In this most unconventional of cycles, when Democratic voters are desperate to find a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump and no one has yet emerged as the clear choice to do […]

Re-Mystifying Iowa

Well that was . . . interesting. One week ago I tried to demystify the opaque Iowa caucus process in a post about what to expect and how to interpret the results. Of all the possibilities I considered, I somehow overlooked the one where an untested app used by precinct captains to report their results […]