What You Wish For

Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz came out swinging at Donald Trump in Thursday’s brawl of a Republican debate, giving worried party leaders what they have been craving, but at the cost of allowing Trump to define the party in his image.  Much more on this later today.

It’s Complicated

Last weekend, I joked that Jeb Bush achieved half his goal of “losing the primary” to “win the general” election. Actually, what he said is that the Republican Party needs to nominate someone who can “lose the primary to win the general election without violating [his] principles.” At face value this statement is just plain silly because, as Jeb acknowledged by suspending his campaign, when you … Read More

The Process of Elimination Primary

With the departure of Jeb Bush from the Republican field and Marco Rubio’s top-tier finish in South Carolina, the path is now clear for Rubio to claim the establishment mantle, not because he is a particularly strong candidate but because he will be the last acceptable candidate standing after every other option fails. Rubio’s disastrous New Hampshire debate performance and his … Read More

The Establishment Fights Back – Sort Of

Following Hillary Clinton’s overwhelming defeat in New Hampshire, a loss in Nevada would have unleashed a torrent of potentially self-fulfilling stories about her failings as a candidate. That she was able to escape Nevada with a 6-point victory protected her campaign from a downward spiral just as the primary calendar turns friendly. That she was expected to run away with … Read More

Walls: Consider Yourselves Rattled

Let’s take stock of where the presidential race stands post-New Hampshire and pre-Nevada/South Carolina. Republicans: The New Hampshire Primary produced the worst possible outcome for Republican Party elites hoping to avoid a Trump or Cruz nomination. With a campaign that promises “so much winning” that his supporters will eventually get tired of it all and beg for a loss here … Read More

The Whole Ballgame

News reports had barely confirmed the passing of Justice Antonin Scalia when Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell announced that his chamber would neither offer its advice nor consent to any nomination made by President Obama to fill the suddenly vacant Supreme Court seat. The timing of McConnell’s proclamation may have been distasteful, but his effort to get in front of the coming … Read More

What We’re About

So much political analysis is shaped in the echo chambers of Washington and New York, and while it may be conventional it frequently lacks wisdom.  Just think about how many times you’ve heard well-regarded analysts proclaim with certainty that something was impossible, only to see it materialize a few months later.  Donald Trump?  He’ll fade by August.  Well, certainly by September.  There’s no way … Read More

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