Michigan

I generally prefer to leave the horserace analysis to CNN, especially because it’s easy to overhype the significance of an event only to find that no one remembers it a week later. However, I think it is worth acknowledging that Bernie Sanders’ victory in Michigan yesterday snuck up on just about everyone and was one of those events that can alter … Read More

Bernie’s Coalition Challenge

You may hear commentators talk about today’s Michigan primary as an ideal opportunity for Bernie Sanders to demonstrate strength against Hillary Clinton in a major industrial state where his message of economic fairness should resonate with voters hit perhaps harder than anyone by the changing economy. Analysis like this makes perfect sense from a messaging perspective but misses the mark because it ignores … Read More

Can the Republican Party Secede From Itself?

Mitt Romney took to the airwaves last Thursday and reamed into Donald Trump, urging Republican voters to oppose his nomination in a tone-deaf plea to return the party to its rightful owners. He called Trump a phony, fraud and bully, and urged the Republican electorate to vote strategically – Rubio in Florida, Kasich in Ohio, Cruz anywhere he’s strong enough – to … Read More

This May Not End Well

Yesterday, I raised the possibility that the Republican Party has split into two incompatible parties living inside a single body. One Republican Party is traditionally conservative and has been unable to settle on a nominee from among Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Jeb Bush and a host of governors who long ago left the scene. The other Republican Party is reactionary, obstructionist and … Read More

Radio Times

For those of you who live in Philadelphia, I will be on Radio Times on WHYY/91FM this morning at 10 am as part of a panel discussing yesterday’s Super Tuesday results. UPDATE: You can listen to the broadcast here.

Are Republicans Already Two Parties?

Initial thoughts on Super Tuesday: Republicans.  Major American parties are alliances of disparate interests. They work effectively when their coalition partners can find enough common ground to put aside their differences, and they fail when differences stand in the way of compromise.  With the radicalization of a significant element of the Republican Party during the Obama years, it’s reasonable to ask whether … Read More

Hillary Is Winning the Nomination, Bernie Is Winning the Party

Initial thoughts on Super Tuesday: Democrats.  Feasting on a map that played to her strength with voters of color, Hillary Clinton surged ahead in the delegate count on Super Tuesday and moved into a commanding position in the race for the Democratic nomination.  Her big victory was expected following her outsized win in South Carolina. She swept through the South like a … Read More

What Makes Tuesday So Super?

We’re adding an interactive map feature at Wolves and Sheep courtesy of our in-house graphics designer Sharon Machlis. During the election season, Sharon will be providing visual representations of abstract concepts to accompany our narrative understanding of events. The two maps below portray the states in play on Tuesday March 1 for the Democrats and Republicans.  Clicking on the states … Read More

Donald Trump Is Staging a Hostile Takeover of the Republican Party

Following Donald Trump’s resounding double-digit victories in Nevada, South Carolina and New Hampshire, party leaders are urging Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz and John Kasich to drop out in order to clear the field for the inevitable nominee and allow him to concentrate his fire on Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders, his two potential general election opponents. Wait.  They’re not? The whole point of compressing the … Read More

What You Wish For

Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz came out swinging at Donald Trump in Thursday’s brawl of a Republican debate, giving worried party leaders what they have been craving, but at the cost of allowing Trump to define the party in his image.  Much more on this later today.

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