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Unconventional and Effective

Democrats pulled off the first nominating convention of the Covid-19 era with a surprisingly compelling prime time presentation that probably won’t change many votes but managed to achieve a range of strategic and tactical objectives. When it became apparent late last spring that there would be no safe way to assemble tens of thousands of people in an arena in … Read More

2020 Update: Mid-Summer Wave Edition

Six weeks ago, I offered a comprehensive assessment of the 2020 election. In that piece, I looked at the fundamentals of the 2020 campaign and concluded that the forces responsible for the 2018 blue wave were still present and were being accelerated by Donald Trump’s response to the pandemic and protests against structural racism. Today and periodically until November, I plan … Read More

Will 2020 Complete 2018?

 As summer approaches, Joe Biden is in the best position of any challenger to an incumbent president since scientific polling began some 90 years ago. He hasn’t trailed in a single large-sample live interview poll during the past 17 months — something that’s never happened before — during which time he has maintained an average lead of between seven and eight … Read More

The Fulfillment of Reaganism

Ronald Reagan has shaped American politics for 40 years. Prior to Reagan’s ascent to the presidency, the country had been transformed by over four decades of liberal policies, starting with FDR’s New Deal and culminating in Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society. The modern social welfare state was established and expanded, and the reach of government expanded with it. By the end … Read More

Biden’s Best Options

Hillary Clinton selected Sen. Tim Kaine as her running mate to boost her prospects in his home state of Virginia and to put a moderate white male on the ticket. Although Clinton was victorious in Virginia, her choice of the nondescript Kaine did nothing to unify Democrats after her long, bruising primary battle with Bernie Sanders. Joe Biden is now … Read More

On Wisconsin

Last week, I wrote about the Wisconsin primary, where the gerrymandered Republican legislature in conjunction with a conservative state supreme court conspired to force people to risk their health in order to vote in a special judicial election that the Democratic governor tried unsuccessfully to postpone. Republicans had hoped to suppress the vote in Democratic strongholds and tilt the playing … Read More

Go Left, Old Man

Bernie is out. This shouldn’t be surprising to anyone who has paid attention to the Democratic campaign since its Super Tuesday inflection point, when in a matter of days the trajectory shifted from a probable Sanders nomination to the inevitability of Joe Biden, who had been left for roadkill after Iowa and New Hampshire. To put what happened in non-secular … Read More

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